Perhaps you’ve seen some of these stories
of dairy farmers dumping milk down the sewer, or vegetable farmers plowing
their crops under. What’s going on?
Storage is expensive. Cold storage is especially expensive. Over the past few decades, with the help of the almighty computer, supply chains have cut margins to a razor-thin edge. A crop goes from its source to its consumer with as short a wait as possible.
Before the current mess began, the
average American ate out at a restaurant six times a month. 6 meals out of 90 =
about 7%. Just because I hate math, let’s round it 5%. So 5% of the food
produced in this country is no longer being consumed. “Wait!” I can hear you
saying. “People are still eating the same amount." True. But the farmers who are part of the supply chain for restaurants can't just turn around and sell
their food to grocery stores.
The food at most restaurants wasn’t
coming from farmers. It was coming from large restaurant supply corporations,
such as Sysco. It came in restaurant-sized packaging that simply doesn’t have a
space on grocery store shelves. When restaurants closed and stopped accepting deliveries from Sysco, Sysco told their farmers, Stop, we don’t
have any place to put your crops. What was the farmer supposed to do with it?
They operate on tight margins as it is, because Sysco wasn’t paying them much.
Redirecting their crop to grocery store suppliers would have cost them more
than the crop was worth. Some of them couldn't even afford to deliver it to food banks. So they dumped it.
Now, here’s where it gets tricky. That
5-7% number mentioned earlier; that doesn’t represent every person eating out 6 times a month. Some households were
eating out nearly every meal. So those households are first going to pivot to
eating pre-cooked meals – things like Swanson TV dinners.
Couldn’t the Swansons
of the world take the restaurant’s excess off the hands of the farmers? Eventually,
yes. But not immediately. The Swanson-type companies already have their own
supply chain, and it doesn’t include potatoes prepared to be Red Robin’s steak
fries.
If you're struggling to support your pioneer lifestyle, maybe this will help: "99 Ways to Fire Your Boss" is a huge collection of income ideas, plus powerful suggestions for lowering your cost of living! Look for it on Amazon.com in paper and electronic versions.
So the first thing that may happen could
be the pre-made meal market seeing shortages. When masked shoppers go to
Safeway to stock up on Hungry Man dinners, and that particular case is empty,
what are they going to do? They’ll buy their second choice. And very likely they'll buy more than they need, just in case. Hopefully not a panic, such as happened with the toilet paper, but
perhaps a pinch more.
A larger section of the population will
also try to dust off their cooking skills. When was the last time you baked bread? Early
on, when toilet paper was being hoarded, bread was also in short supply in some
stores. So people started stocking up on flour and Googling how to
bake their own bread. Now the flour is getting scarce, as is yeast, and prices
are rising. There's been a hamburger shortage in the meat department of some stores; all these new experimental cookers are more confident in their ability to cook a burger than a roast.
The shortages may not get to starvation
levels. Perhaps rice, with its connection to China, will fall out of favor and
you’ll have to switch to potatoes. Or your favorite brand of coffee or sugar
will be out of stock and you’ll have to switch to another. Or you'll learn to drink your coffee black because of a cream shortage.
Isn’t it interesting that this type of food shortage is exactly what
the Bible predicted? Revelation 6:6, in describing the ‘end times’ or last
days, said:
“I heard a voice out of the midst of the four living creatures say, ‘A quart of wheat for a day’s wage, three quarts of barley for a day’s wage, and do not harm the olive oil or the wine.’”
In Bible times, as today, wheat was
preferable to barley. A quart of wheat would not have been enough for a small
family to subsist on, certainly not something you'd want to spend your whole day's wage on. So that heavenly voice was predicting, not necessarily starvation,
but at the very least price gouging, and having to make do with what may not be
your preference. Olive oil and wine were staples as well. Olive oil was used
for everything from lamplight to lotions. The admonition to not harm them would
indicate having to take special care to preserve what you have.
Food shortages alone, or even food
shortages accompanying a pandemic, are not proof that we are living in the last
days. That’s why Jesus gave a multi-part sign. But they should be enough to
make a reasonable person investigate further. If you haven’t done so in a
while, re-read Matthew 24 & 25, Luke 21, Mark 13, 2 Timothy 3, and Revelation chapter 6.
Please subscribe and leave a
comment. Follow me on Facebook.
No comments:
Post a Comment